Standalone analysis

Country, political or financial risk

I connect risk scenarios to the exposures and signals a decision-maker can use.

Further relevant work

Nexus Insight · Moldova · 2025–2026

Moldova country risk and Gagauzia participation

Produced a 2026–2028 Moldova outlook on European Union Growth Plan implementation, energy change and Transnistria-related risks. Separately combined 32 interviews, political statements and 814 regional media items to explain participation dynamics in Gagauzia.

Private client in central-bank risk management · 2026

Macro-financial regime analysis

Analysed 645 months of market data and rolling relationships between policy expectations, inflation, the dollar, gold and oil. Built a regime-based framework to distinguish persistent patterns from relationships that changed as monetary conditions shifted.

How the analysis is built

Evidence approach

Official, statistical, regulatory, polling, media, political, financial and client-specific evidence.

Interpretation

Drivers and transmission mechanisms are made explicit so the framework can be challenged and updated.

Selected reports and tools

Send the decision you need to make. I’ll propose the analytical scope and the output it requires.

Discuss this assignment

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